TACT Program Vs A Double-Dip Recession

The TACT, or Toxic Asset Conversion and Transfereconomy does not continue to improve there will be
Program is a simple and effective solution to both theeven more toxic assets on their books. The banks'
banking and real estate crises. It builds on the progressreal estate strategy seems to be "put up and hope".
made by banks and real estate investors to bring usPut up the properties for sale, and hope another bank
back from the brink of a liquidity disaster. Unfortunately,makes a mortgage loan so we can sell a property and
if TACT is not implemented quickly by banks, bothimprove our capital ratios. I guess the Catch-22 is just
large and small, the US (and world) economy will likelynot obvious enough. The banks are reluctant to lend on
be in a double-dip recession. The Great Recession, asreal estate and to businesses at the current artificially
it will be remembered for generations to come, waslow interest rates. And the government will gladly
triggered by a greed inflated real estate bubble. Justborrow all the money banks have to fund the deficit.
as signs of recovery were becoming apparent in allThis government stimulus funded by the banks and
sectors of the economy, Europe's socialistic spendingtaxes cannot continue forever. Recall Margaret
habits have brought us back to the edge. As MargaretThatcher's words.
Thatcher said "The problem with socialism is thatA key reason for the improvement in bank liquidity
eventually you run out of other people's money [tosince the depths of the recession is that buyers and
spend]".real estate investors have been buying up the bank
TACT is not, and should never become, a governmentowned properties being dumped on the market at
run program. The government has already doneextremely low prices. Real estate investors use their
enough to plant the seeds of the real estate crisis,own cash or private loans to buy these properties and
devise incentives to ensure banks made risky loans,thus help the banks improve their balance sheets. The
and later encouraged renters with no savings toinvestors will achieve returns on their cash far above
become homeowners. The best the government canthe one percent rates offered on bank CDs (often
do is encourage banks to implement TACT, avoid newreferred to as Certificates of Depreciation). Eventually
regulation that inhibits it, and eventually eliminate thethough, investors will run out of cash, and the bank
arbitrary guidelines they themselves implemented thatrecovery will stall.
slow the continued economic expansion.How does the TACT Program work? Banks have
Why is a double-dip recession imminent? The buddingtoxic assets (TA) in their portfolio that stymie their
economic expansion is being constrained by a lack oflending. These assets are primarily real estate owned
bank lending. Businesses with increasing demand will(REO) and non-performing loans. These toxic assets if
not hire new employees to handle the growth if banksconverted (C) to performing loans would dramatically
will not provide the loans to finance the requiredimprove the banks' liquidity. How? The easiest way to
working capital. As businesses grow, their payroll,explain is through my catchy phrase "A banker's trash
inventory, and accounts receivable grow. Funding thatis an investor's treasure". The bank owned property is
working capital expansion requires bank loans.transferred (T) to an investor in return for a performing
During the Great Recession, banks' balance sheetsloan. TACT is a very simple and effective solution that
and thus their ability to make loans dropped off a cliff.takes banks' Toxic Assets and Converts them to
As mortgage loans went into default, banks needed toperforming loans by Transferring the assets to a real
create accruals, their capital ratios deteriorated, andestate investor.
reserve requirements grew. Those capital ratiosIn my mind, the choice is obvious. Implementing TACT
deteriorated further as banks foreclosed on thoseis far better than a double-dip recession. A double-dip
properties. Since there was virtually no market forrecession will drive more homeowners to turn over
non-performing loans and bank owned properties, theytheir keys to their bank and further degrade balance
would need to write down the value to zero. Thesheets, and choke lending completely. It does not
banking system was near a tipping point, so thematter what your opinion of bankers is, we need a
government and accounting board decided to relax thehealthy banking system for businesses to grow and
mark-to-market rules. This was a necessary step butcreate more jobs. Healthy banks are far better than
NOT a solution. For that matter the priorthe federal and state governments creating more jobs
mark-to-market rules should be reinstated as theto get us out of the second dip, and raising taxes to
TACT Program is implemented. Those rules willfuel government growth.
provide more incentive for bankers to keep movingMaybe the TACT Program can be more easily
forward with this solution to their liquidity problem.remembered by the two definitions of REO. A bank
The banks now have more money to lend than in thethinks of it as Real Estate Owned, a toxic asset. An
depths of the recession, however they are still veryinvestor thinks of it as a Real Estate Opportunity, to
constrained by the number of bank owned propertiesconvert foreclosures to family homes!
and non-performing loans on their books. If the